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HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132017
0900 UTC TUE AUG 22 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 132.5W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 132.5W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 132.3W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.3N 133.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 23.2N 134.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.1N 135.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 26.6N 136.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 28.7N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 30.0N 137.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 31.0N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 132.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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