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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092017
0900 UTC TUE JUL 25 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 106.7W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 106.7W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 106.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.8N 108.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.3N 110.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.8N 112.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.4N 114.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.6N 118.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 19.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N 126.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 106.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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