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HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
0900 UTC SUN JUL 16 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 126.2W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 126.2W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 125.7W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 12.6N 127.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.4N 130.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.2N 132.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.1N 133.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.6N 136.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 17.3N 139.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 17.6N 142.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 126.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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