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TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
1500 UTC THU JUL 13 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 115.0W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 20NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  45SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 115.0W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 114.5W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 11.5N 116.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 11.2N 118.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 11.0N 120.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 11.2N 122.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 12.0N 126.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 13.4N 131.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 15.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 115.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY


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