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TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
0900 UTC THU JUL 13 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 114.1W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 114.1W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 113.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 11.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 11.2N 117.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 10.9N 119.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 10.9N 121.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 11.6N 125.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 12.8N 130.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 14.0N 134.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 114.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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