ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Dora Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042017 300 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017 ...DORA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT PASSES NORTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.6N 111.4W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM NNW OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 245 MI...400 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dora was located near latitude 19.6 North, longitude 111.4 West. Dora is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday night, with a turn toward the west expected Thursday or Thursday night. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is forecast during the next 36 to 48 hours, and Dora is expected to become a remnant low Wednesday night or Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. During the past several hours, the Mexican automated station on Socorro Island has reported wind gusts of 40 mph (65 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Dora will continue to affect portions of the coast of southwest Mexico through Wednesday, and also affect portions of the coast of the southern Baja California peninsula over the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Beven NNNN
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