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HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172017
1500 UTC SAT OCT 14 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE
AZORES WEATHER FORECAST AND WATCH CENTER.

INTERESTS IN IRELAND SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY MET
EIREANN... AND INTERESTS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM SHOULD MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY THE UK MET OFFICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  26.6W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  60SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 110SE 110SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 200SE 210SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  26.6W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.2N  27.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.5N  23.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE 110SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 40.5N  18.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 46.5N  14.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  70SE  65SW  35NW.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 220SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 51.5N  11.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 170SE 150SW 160NW.
34 KT...230NE 270SE 240SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 59.0N   6.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...270NE 330SE 240SW 210NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N  26.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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