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HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172017
2100 UTC WED OCT 11 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  36.1W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  50SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE  80SE  90SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  36.1W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  36.2W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.3N  35.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.7N  35.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.4N  34.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 32.3N  31.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 35.5N  24.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 140SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 43.0N  16.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 53.5N  10.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N  36.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY


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