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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172017
0900 UTC MON OCT 09 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  39.9W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  39.9W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  40.0W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 31.5N  39.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 31.7N  39.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 31.5N  38.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.0N  37.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.7N  37.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 29.7N  35.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 31.0N  32.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N  39.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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