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Hurricane MARIA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  42                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017               
1500 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLIP NY       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NYC CNTRL PARK 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NWS EARLE NJ   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PHILADELPHIA   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   5( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DOVER DE       34  1   5( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CAPE HENLOPEN  34  3   5( 8)   4(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  4   7(11)   5(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
PAX RIVER NAS  34  2   5( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  4   8(12)   5(17)   1(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  3   4( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  5   8(13)   5(18)   1(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  5   9(14)   6(20)   1(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34  6  11(17)   5(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34  8  13(21)   5(26)   1(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34  4   4( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34 30  18(48)   5(53)   2(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34  8   7(15)   4(19)   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34 13  10(23)   5(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34 10   9(19)   4(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
SURF CITY NC   34  5   5(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  4   4( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34  4   4( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  3   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
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