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HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
0300 UTC THU SEP 28 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  71.5W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 280SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  71.5W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.5N  71.8W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.9N  70.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  50SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 36.9N  67.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 37.4N  62.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  70SW   0NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 39.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  70SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE 210SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 44.5N  41.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 240SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 51.0N  18.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N  71.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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