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HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
2100 UTC WED SEP 27 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF CAPE
HATTERAS.

ALL STORM SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE HATTERAS TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N  72.1W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N  72.1W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  72.4W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 36.6N  71.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 36.9N  68.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.2N  64.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  80SW   0NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 38.6N  59.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE  80SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 210SE 210SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 44.0N  43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 110SE  90SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 240SE 240SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 50.0N  23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.2N  72.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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