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HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.  TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES MAY BE
NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST ON SUNDAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  72.5W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......210NE 200SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 180SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  72.5W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  72.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.6N  72.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 110SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 29.1N  73.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.1N  73.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.1N  73.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 32.9N  73.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 34.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 35.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N  72.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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