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BULLETIN
Hurricane Jose Advisory Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122017
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
500 PM AST Sat Sep 09 2017

...CORE OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE JOSE WILL MOVE AWAY FROM
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 62.4W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM NNE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Antigua has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for Barbuda and Anguilla.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* St. Martin
* Sint Maarten
* St. Barthelemy

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 62.4 West. Jose is moving toward
the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the
core of Jose will move away from the northern Leeward Islands
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Jose is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Little change in intensity is expected
overnight, but gradual weakening should begin on Sunday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 945 mb (27.91 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical
storm warning areas through this evening.

RAINFALL:  Jose is expected to produce up to an inch of additional
rainfall on Anguilla through this evening. This rainfall will
maintain any ongoing flooding.

STORM SURGE:  Tidal levels will gradually subside over the northern
Leeward Islands tonight.

SURF:  Swells generated by Jose are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands, the British and U.S. Virgin Islands, and will begin
to affect the northern coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, and
portions of the Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands over the
next couple of days. These swells are likely to produce
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster R Ballard

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