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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  63
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
0300 UTC THU SEP 21 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH... INCLUDING CAPE COD
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  68.2W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT.......170NE 200SE 180SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 270SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  68.2W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.4N  68.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 39.6N  67.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...170NE 190SE 160SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 39.5N  67.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 160SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 39.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 150SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 39.4N  69.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 130SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 39.1N  69.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 39.0N  70.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N  68.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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