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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
1500 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  69.4W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  69.4W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  69.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 27.1N  70.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 28.1N  71.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 29.1N  72.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.4N  72.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 33.3N  72.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 36.1N  71.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 39.5N  70.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N  69.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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