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HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  68.3W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  68.3W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  68.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.2N  67.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 26.4N  66.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 25.7N  65.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 25.3N  66.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 26.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 28.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 30.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N  68.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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