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HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BARBUDA AND ANGUILLA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR ST.
MARTIN AND BARTHELEMY.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF SINT MAARTEN HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
SINT MAARTEN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBUDA AND ANGUILLA
* SINT MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MONTSERRAT... ST KITTS... AND NEVIS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* ST. THOMAS AND ST. JOHN
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  58.3W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE  50SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 165SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  58.3W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  57.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.3N  60.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.4N  61.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.9N  64.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.7N  66.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 24.9N  68.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 27.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 28.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  58.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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