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HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
2100 UTC WED SEP 06 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JOSE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  45.8W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  45.8W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  45.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.5N  48.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.1N  51.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.8N  54.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.4N  56.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.5N  60.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  60SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.5N  63.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 25.0N  67.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  45.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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