| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Hurricane IRMA (Text)


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112017
2100 UTC TUE SEP 05 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE
BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD TO CABO ENGANO.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER
WITH HAITI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA... BARBUDA... ANGUILLA... MONTSERRAT... ST. KITTS... AND
NEVIS
* SABA... ST. EUSTATIUS... AND SINT MAARTEN
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO... VIEQUES... AND CULEBRA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH
HAITI

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE
MOLE ST. NICHOLAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* DOMINICA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI FROM SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO PORT-AU-PRINCE

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI... AS
WELL AS CUBA... THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... AND FLORIDA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  59.8W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  926 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT WITH GUSTS TO 195 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  45SE  35SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 110SE 100SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 240SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  59.8W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  59.2W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.6N  61.8W
MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.5N  64.6W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.5N  67.3W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.4N  70.1W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.6N  75.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 22.7N  79.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 24.4N  81.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N  59.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


NNNN

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Sunday, 31-Dec-2017 12:09:21 UTC