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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN
FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102017
1500 UTC MON AUG 28 2017
CORRECTED TO CLARIFY THAT THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING BEGINS NORTH
OF SURF CITY.
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK INCLUDING THE ALBERMALE AND
PAMLICO SOUNDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK
* ALBEMARLE SOUND
* PAMLICO SOUND
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH OF SURF CITY TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN THIS CASE WITHIN
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS.
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 80.3W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 80.3W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 80.5W
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 32.4N 79.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 34.5N 77.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 36.5N 73.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 38.5N 69.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 42.5N 58.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 60SE 150SW 125NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 240SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 46.0N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 50.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N 80.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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