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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102017
0900 UTC MON AUG 28 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO DUCK
* ALBEMARLE SOUND
* PAMLICO SOUND
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS.
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  81.0W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  81.0W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  81.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 31.1N  80.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.9N  79.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 35.0N  76.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 37.5N  72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 41.0N  62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 240SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 44.0N  51.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 48.5N  37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N  81.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
 
 
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