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Tropical Storm HARVEY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017               
1500 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MOBILE AL      34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)
 
STENNIS MS     34  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
BURAS LA       34  2   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
JACKSON MS     34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   7(12)   3(15)   1(16)   X(16)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  3   7(10)   2(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  8   5(13)   1(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  6  17(23)   4(27)   2(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  9  18(27)   2(29)   2(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  4  21(25)  10(35)   5(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
ALEXANDRIA LA  50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34 16  31(47)   5(52)   1(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34 18  28(46)   4(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  1   4( 5)   3( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)   1(13)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  7  28(35)   7(42)   2(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
FORT POLK LA   50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34 35  31(66)   3(69)   1(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)
LAKE CHARLES   50  X   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
LAKE CHARLES   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
CAMERON LA     34 62  18(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
CAMERON LA     50  2   7( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
CAMERON LA     64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
JASPER TX      34  8  20(28)   5(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
JASPER TX      50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34 16  19(35)   2(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
KOUNTZE TX     50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 40  17(57)   1(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  1   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GALVESTON TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GALVESTON TX   50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  8   6(14)   1(15)   X(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
FREEPORT TX    34 18   3(21)   X(21)   X(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34 93   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34  6   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  3   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ROCKPORT TX    34  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
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