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Tropical Storm HARVEY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017               
2100 UTC MON AUG 28 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
STENNIS MS     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
BURAS LA       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   1(10)   1(11)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  2   3( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  1   3( 4)   3( 7)   6(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  2   4( 6)   6(12)   4(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  2   3( 5)   3( 8)  12(20)   8(28)   X(28)   1(29)
ALEXANDRIA LA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  3   6( 9)   9(18)   8(26)   4(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  3   7(10)   8(18)   8(26)   2(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34 33  16(49)   6(55)   2(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   6( 9)   7(16)   1(17)   X(17)
SHREVEPORT LA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  3   5( 8)   7(15)  14(29)   6(35)   X(35)   1(36)
FORT POLK LA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)
FORT POLK LA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34 11  14(25)  13(38)  10(48)   3(51)   X(51)   X(51)
LAKE CHARLES   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CAMERON LA     34 25  16(41)  11(52)   7(59)   2(61)   X(61)   X(61)
CAMERON LA     50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
JASPER TX      34  4   7(11)   7(18)  13(31)   4(35)   X(35)   X(35)
JASPER TX      50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
JASPER TX      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34 33   7(40)   7(47)   6(53)   2(55)   X(55)   X(55)
KOUNTZE TX     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 46   8(54)   6(60)   5(65)   1(66)   X(66)   X(66)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GALVESTON TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GALVESTON TX   50  3   4( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
GALVESTON TX   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
HOUSTON TX     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HOUSTON TX     50  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
AUSTIN TX      34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAN ANTONIO TX 34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FREEPORT TX    34 85   3(88)   1(89)   1(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
FREEPORT TX    50  5   2( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  8   4(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50  1   4( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34 48  11(59)   2(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
MATAGORDA TX   50  3   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34 52   4(56)   1(57)   X(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)
PORT O CONNOR  50  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ROCKPORT TX    34 16   4(20)   1(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34  7   2( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34 38   4(42)   1(43)   1(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 
MCALLEN TX     34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HARLINGEN TX   34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
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