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Hurricane HARVEY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017               
2100 UTC FRI AUG 25 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.                                       
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
STENNIS MS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)
 
BURAS LA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   3(10)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   4(13)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   5(10)   2(12)   3(15)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   5( 9)   3(12)   4(16)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  2   2( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)  13(22)   6(28)   4(32)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)   5(13)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   5(12)   3(15)   4(19)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  2   2( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   6(15)   5(20)   3(23)
 
CAMERON LA     34  2   3( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)   9(18)   4(22)   4(26)
CAMERON LA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
CAMERON LA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
JASPER TX      34  2   3( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   6(16)   3(19)   4(23)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34  2   4( 6)   4(10)   3(13)  10(23)   3(26)   5(31)
KOUNTZE TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  3   3( 6)   4(10)   2(12)  11(23)   4(27)   5(32)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GALVESTON TX   34 18   8(26)   5(31)   6(37)  16(53)   4(57)   2(59)
GALVESTON TX   50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   7(11)   1(12)   2(14)
GALVESTON TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)
 
HOUSTON TX     34 29  15(44)   6(50)   7(57)  11(68)   1(69)   1(70)
HOUSTON TX     50  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   5(10)   1(11)   2(13)
HOUSTON TX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
AUSTIN TX      34 10  52(62)  11(73)   8(81)   2(83)   X(83)   1(84)
AUSTIN TX      50  1   5( 6)   7(13)   3(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)
AUSTIN TX      64  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 24  56(80)   6(86)   5(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)
SAN ANTONIO TX 50  1  18(19)  15(34)   6(40)   2(42)   X(42)   X(42)
SAN ANTONIO TX 64  X   4( 4)   6(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
FREEPORT TX    34 76   3(79)   3(82)   3(85)   6(91)   1(92)   X(92)
FREEPORT TX    50  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   3( 9)  11(20)   2(22)   1(23)
FREEPORT TX    64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)  16(22)   4(26)   1(27)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)  10(11)   2(13)   1(14)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  4   6(10)   5(15)   4(19)  14(33)   5(38)   4(42)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MATAGORDA TX   50 27   5(32)   3(35)   5(40)  13(53)   1(54)   X(54)
MATAGORDA TX   64  4   2( 6)   1( 7)   3(10)   8(18)   2(20)   X(20)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PORT O CONNOR  50 89   2(91)   1(92)   2(94)   2(96)   X(96)   X(96)
PORT O CONNOR  64 43   3(46)   2(48)   3(51)   9(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 
ROCKPORT TX    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ROCKPORT TX    50 99   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ROCKPORT TX    64 88   2(90)   X(90)   X(90)   1(91)   X(91)   X(91)
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50 74   3(77)   1(78)   1(79)   5(84)   X(84)   X(84)
CORPUS CHRISTI 64 22   5(27)   1(28)   3(31)  12(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 270N 960W 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 270N 960W 64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MCALLEN TX     34  3   4( 7)   5(12)   9(21)  25(46)   1(47)   1(48)
MCALLEN TX     50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   8(11)   1(12)   X(12)
MCALLEN TX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
HARLINGEN TX   34  4   4( 8)   6(14)   9(23)  27(50)   1(51)   1(52)
HARLINGEN TX   50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   2( 4)  15(19)   X(19)   X(19)
HARLINGEN TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  2   4( 6)   4(10)   8(18)  26(44)   3(47)   1(48)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)  13(15)   1(16)   X(16)
BROWNSVILLE TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  2   2( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)  20(29)   3(32)   2(34)
GFMX 250N 960W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
GFMX 250N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
LA PESCA MX    34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   7(12)   1(13)   1(14)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     
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