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TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017
0900 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MESQUITE BAY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT BOLIVAR TO MORGAN CITY
 
CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING CONTINUES IN SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA.  PLEASE SEE WARNINGS
AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND IN
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HARVEY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  94.8W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  94.8W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  95.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.3N  94.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.8N  93.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 29.9N  93.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 31.1N  92.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.7N  90.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 36.0N  87.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 37.5N  83.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.1N  94.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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