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TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017
0300 UTC MON AUG 28 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FROM PORT O'CONNOR
SOUTHWARD TO MESQUITE BAY AND FROM SARGENT NORTHEASTWARD TO HIGH
ISLAND.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MESQUITE BAY TO HIGH ISLAND

CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING CONTINUES IN SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS...AND FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
THIS AREA.  PLEASE SEE WARNINGS AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST AND IN SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HARVEY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  96.6W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 120 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  96.6W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  96.8W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 28.6N  96.4W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 28.3N  96.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.4N  95.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 28.8N  95.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.5N  94.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  30SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 32.3N  93.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 34.0N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N  96.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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