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TROPICAL STORM GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082017
1500 UTC MON AUG 14 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  72.2W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  72.2W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  72.2W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.5N  72.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 33.4N  71.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 35.8N  68.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 38.4N  64.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 43.0N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 120SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE  90SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 50.0N  36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N  72.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY


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