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TROPICAL STORM EMILY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062017
1200 UTC MON JUL 31 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ANCLOTE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO BONITA BEACH FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  83.2W AT 31/1200Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  95 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  83.2W AT 31/1200Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  84.0W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 27.7N  82.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 28.3N  80.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.8N  78.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 31.6N  76.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N  83.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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