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TROPICAL STORM SEYMOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202016
2100 UTC SUN OCT 23 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 105.9W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 105.9W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 105.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.5N 107.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.2N 110.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.8N 112.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.4N 115.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.8N 119.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 20.8N 121.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 23.1N 120.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 105.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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