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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PAINE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172016
900 PM MDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...PAINE EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 113.8W
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paine was
located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 113.8 West. Paine is
moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and a turn toward
the north-northwest and north is expected over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is expected, and
Paine is forecast to become a hurricane tonight or early Monday.
A weakening trend should begin by Monday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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