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HURRICANE ORLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162016
2100 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

CORRECTED FOR 12 FT SEAS

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 122.9W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 122.9W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 122.5W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.6N 124.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.4N 127.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.3N 129.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.3N 132.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 19.3N 137.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 19.5N 141.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 20.5N 145.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 122.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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