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HURRICANE ORLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162016
2100 UTC MON SEP 12 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 119.2W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 119.2W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 119.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.5N 119.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.1N 119.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.5N 119.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.5N 120.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.1N 123.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 18.8N 128.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 18.7N 132.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 119.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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