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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162016
0300 UTC SUN SEP 11 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 114.9W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 114.9W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 114.4W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.9N 116.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.0N 118.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.9N 119.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.7N 120.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.9N 120.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 19.1N 122.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 19.0N 126.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 114.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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