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HURRICANE NEWTON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016
600 AM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016
...EYE OF NEWTON OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...
...NEWTON POUNDING BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITH HURRICANE-FORCE
WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS...
SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM NW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM SSE OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lazaro to Mulege, including Cabo San Lucas
* Guaymas to Bahia Kino
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos
* North of Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista
* Mazatlan to Guaymas
* Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Newton was located
near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 110.4 West. Newton is moving
toward the north-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward north is
expected by tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Newton
will continue to pass over Baja California Sur early today and
emerge in the Gulf of California this afternoon. The center of
Newton is forecast to reach northwestern Mexico early Wednesday
Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next 24
hours. However, Newton is still expected to be a hurricane when it
makes a second landfall along the northwestern coast of mainland
Mexico early Wednesday morning.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km). A Mexican automated station located at San Lucas
reported maximum sustained winds of 78 mph (125 km/h) with gusts to
116 mph (187 km/h).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).
A Storm Chaser in downtown Cabo San Lucas reported a pressure of 984
mb (29.06 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are occurring over
much of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula.
These hazardous wind conditions will spread northward through this
morning within the warning areas. Preparations to protect life and
property should have been completed.
For the Mexican mainland, hurricane conditions are expected within
the Hurricane Warning area by early Wednesday morning. Tropical
storm conditions are expected over northwestern Mexico within the
warning area beginning this morning, and these conditions will
gradually spread northward throughout the day and into tonight.
RAINFALL: Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
8 to 12 inches over the Mexican state of Baja California Sur, and 5
to 10 inches over the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Sonora, western
Nayarit, and Jalisco, and a small part of Baja California Norte
through Wednesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are
possible in Baja California Sur. Moisture associated with Newton is
expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and
locally higher amounts over southeastern Arizona and southwestern
New Mexico through Thursday. In all of these locations, heavy rain
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially
in mountainous terrain.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall on both the southern Baja California peninsula
and mainland Mexico. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied
by large and destructive waves.
SURF: Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the
coast of southwestern Mexico through today, but begin to subside on
Wednesday. Large swells are occurring along the coast of Baja
California Sur and should spread northward through the Gulf of
California today and Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.