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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NEWTON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152016
600 AM MDT MON SEP 05 2016

...NEWTON HEADING TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...


SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 106.3W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* La Paz to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes
* north of La Paz to San Evaristo

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* north of La Paz to San Evaristo
* north of Santa Fe to Cabo San Lazaro

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* north of San Evaristo to Santa Rosalia
* north of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos
* Mazatlan to Guaymas

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.  Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Newton was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 106.3 West. Newton is
moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A
northwestward or north-northwestward motion with a further increase
in forward speed is expected later today and Tuesday.  On the
forecast track, the center of Newton will be near or over the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula Tuesday morning or
afternoon.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours or so, and Newton
could be near hurricane intensity when it approaches the extreme
southern Baja California peninsula Tuesday morning.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (145 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within
the hurricane warning area by Tuesday morning.  Winds are expected
to first reach tropical storm strength by late tonight, making
outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect
life and property should be rushed to completion.  Hurricane and
tropical storm conditions are possible within the hurricane watch
area on Tuesday.

Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm
warning area along the southwestern coast of Mexico today. Tropical
storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch areas
by late Tuesday.

RAINFALL:  Newton is expected to produce total rainfall totals
of 5 to 10 inches for coastal portions of the Mexican states of
Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa, as well as much of the
state of Baja California Sur, with isolated maximum amounts of 15
inches through Tuesday night.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of
mountainous terrain.

SURF:  Swells generated by Newton are expected to increase near the
coast of southwestern Mexico and the southern portion of the Baja
California peninsula during the next day or so.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain

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