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Hurricane LESTER


ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE LESTER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016               
0900 UTC MON AUG 29 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.                                       
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 130W       34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 130W       34  7   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
15N 135W       34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
20N 135W       34  X   2( 2)  36(38)   6(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)
20N 135W       50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
20N 135W       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  13(17)   2(19)   X(19)
 
20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  41(51)   1(52)   1(53)
20N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   X(16)   X(16)
20N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  13(17)   2(19)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  32(45)   5(50)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   3(19)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)
 
25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)
 
20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  31(43)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)
20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
25N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  30(37)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)
20N 154W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)
 
BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)
 
18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN                                               
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