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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
2100 UTC WED AUG 24 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 109.9W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 109.9W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 109.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.9N 111.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.5N 113.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.1N 114.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 18.0N 123.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N 128.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 109.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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