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Tropical Depression ELEVEN-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016               
1500 UTC SUN AUG 07 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   5(14)   X(14)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   2( 2)  22(24)  31(55)   6(61)   X(61)   X(61)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   4(19)   X(19)   X(19)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   2( 2)  19(21)  31(52)   5(57)   X(57)   X(57)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)  21(26)  17(43)   1(44)   X(44)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
LA PAZ         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
LORETO         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  13(16)   5(21)   X(21)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)
 
GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
CULIACAN       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   7(10)   6(16)   1(17)   X(17)
CULIACAN       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MAZATLAN       34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SAN BLAS       34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
P VALLARTA     34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  1   9(10)   4(14)   X(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
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