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Tropical Depression JAVIER


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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016
600 AM MDT TUE AUG 09 2016

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS THAT JAVIER HAS WEAKENED TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION...


SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.4N 110.6W
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM NW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning and Tropical Storm Watch for the Baja California peninsula.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Javier
was located near latitude 23.4 North, longitude 110.6 West. Javier
is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through Wednesday.  On the forecast
track, the center of Javier is expected to move near or over Baja
California Sur through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected during the next
couple of days, and Javier is forecast to become a remnant low
within the next day or so.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft reported a minimum central pressure
of 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 2
to 4 inches over Baja California Sur and northwest Mexico through
Thursday morning, with maximum amounts of up to 8 inches possible.
Moisture partially related to Javier has spread into Arizona and
New Mexico, where 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated amounts of
up to 8 inches, are possible through Thursday.  The expected
rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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