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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016
400 AM CDT SUN AUG 07 2016

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 104.3W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
the southwest coast of Mexico from Manzanillo westward to Cabo
Corrientes.  The government of Mexico has also issued a Tropical
Storm Watch for the southern portion of the Baja California
peninsula from La Paz southward and westward to Santa Fe,
including Cabo San Lucas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Southern portion of the Baja California peninsula from La Paz
southward and westward to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven-E
was located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 104.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17
km/h).  A turn toward the northwest is expected later today and
this motion should continue through Monday.  On the forecast track,
the center of the depression should pass near or over the southwest
coast of Mexico today, and approach the southern portion of the
Baja California peninsula on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some gradual strengthening is expected during the next 48
hours, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm
later today or tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The tropical depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over western or coastal parts of the
Mexican states Colima, Jalisco, Michoaca, Nayarit and the southern
part of Baja California Sur with possible isolated maximum amounts
of 12 inches through Tuesday morning.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the
southwest coast of Mexico within the warning area by this
afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible over the southern
portion of the Baja California peninsula within the watch area by
late Monday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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