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TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016
0300 UTC TUE AUG 09 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN EVARISTO TO CABO SAN LAZARO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 109.7W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 109.7W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 109.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.2N 110.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.2N 111.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.1N 112.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.3N 113.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 109.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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