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TROPICAL STORM IVETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102016
0900 UTC SAT AUG 06 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 133.6W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 133.6W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 133.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.2N 135.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.9N 136.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.7N 138.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.3N 139.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.5N 143.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 18.0N 147.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 133.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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