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TROPICAL STORM IVETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102016
0900 UTC FRI AUG 05 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 129.7W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 129.7W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 129.2W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.2N 131.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.8N 133.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.4N 134.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.2N 136.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.5N 139.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  20SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 19.0N 142.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 18.8N 146.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 129.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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