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TROPICAL STORM FRANK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072016
2100 UTC THU JUL 21 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF FRANK.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 104.0W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 104.0W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 103.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.0N 105.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.2N 107.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.2N 108.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.1N 110.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.8N 112.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 22.3N 113.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 23.5N 115.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 104.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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