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HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052016
0300 UTC SAT JUL 16 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 122.1W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 122.1W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 121.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.7N 123.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.1N 125.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.4N 126.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.7N 128.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.3N 133.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 20.0N 138.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 20.0N 142.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 122.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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