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TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042016
0900 UTC WED JUL 13 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 131.2W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 131.2W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 130.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.3N 132.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.4N 134.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 21.3N 136.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.0N 139.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 22.5N 144.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 23.0N 149.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 23.5N 153.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 131.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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