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HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032016
2100 UTC THU JUL 07 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 127.8W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 127.8W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 127.5W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.1N 128.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.2N 130.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.5N 131.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.9N 132.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.2N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 22.2N 140.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 21.8N 145.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 127.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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