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HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032016
2100 UTC WED JUL 06 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 124.7W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 124.7W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 124.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.7N 126.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.2N 127.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.0N 129.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.0N 131.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.2N 134.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.8N 137.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 22.5N 141.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 124.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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