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TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032016
1500 UTC SUN JUL 03 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 110.3W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 110.3W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 109.8W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 12.1N 112.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 12.6N 114.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.1N 116.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.6N 118.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.6N 123.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 16.0N 127.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.3N 131.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 110.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN


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